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Mystic Steve's TdF Predictions!

There’s just one day left until the Tour starts so Steve, our Digital Marketing Coordinator, thought it's about time to get off the fence and put his predictions for the 2014 Tour de France into writing.

Rest assured this isn’t a Mystic Meg style prediction like "the Tour will be won by a man on a bicycle". While I am sure it will be won by a man on a bicycle I wanted to be more specific than that!


It will probably come as little surprise that my pick for winner will come from the 2 main established favourites. I believe it will be very close between Froome and Contador providing that they and the teams around them stay healthy until Paris. I just have a feeling Contador will take the honours but only by less than a minute.

So if Contador and Froome will fill the top 2 positions, who will fill the third step on the podium? There are a lot of great riders around who could feasibly finish on the podium. Andrew Talansky recently won the Dauphine and Rui Costa won the Tour de Suisse. Vincenzo Nibali, last year's Giro d’Italia winner, is also in great shape after winning Tirreno-Adriatico and more recently the Italian National Road Championship in 2014. There’s also Tejay Van Garderen, Bauke Mollema and Jurgen Van den Broeck who all have a shot. However, my prediction is that third place will go to Alejandro Valverde who would surely have finished higher than 8th last year if not for an unfortunately timed mechanical on stage 13.

The 2014 Tour de France has 5 mountain top finishes this year and the King of the mountains jersey competition is sure to be fierce. The main Yellow Jersey contenders are great climbers in themselves and are sure to be near the top of this competition as well. Froome is a better time-trailer than Contador so if Contador is to win the overall he is going to have to take time in the mountains. My prediction is for Alberto Contador to take the King of the Mountains Jersey as well as the overall Classification.

The Green Jersey competition will be fought out between Peter Sagan, Mark Cavendish and Marcel Kittel. Peter Sagan has excelled in recent years at taking a good number of points from intermediate sprints and finishing up the order in the final sprints. In contrast, Kittel and Cavendish usually prefer to wait until the end sprint. For either Cavendish or Kittel to take this competition they will surely have to take a keener interest in the intermediate sprints. My prediction is for Peter Sagan to make it three years running in Green.

The Young rider competition is very tough to call with Michal Kwiatkowski, Andrew Talansky, Romain Bardet, Tom Dumoulin and Tejay Van Garderen all likely to contend the jersey. Without much to go on other than gut feeling, my prediction is for Romain Bardet to be wearing the White Jersey into Paris.


Stage 1 is likely to come down to a bunch sprint into Harrogate on Saturday afternoon. Mark Cavendish has gone on record and said this is his number one goal of the year. Marcel Kittel has also said that he wants to win here and secure another Yellow Jersey. It might be heart ruling head but I have a feeling Cavendish will take this one.

Stage 2 is much more hilly and boasts many climbs, two of which could determine the race in the latter stages of the race. Neither are particularly long but they are steep and are a great opportunity for an attack. The most likely of these is Jenkin Road which boasts gradients at over 30% and is just 5km from the finish. I’m sure a number of riders will see this as a big target. My prediction is for someone to attack and Peter Sagan to follow, sprinting past them to take the sprint and the Yellow Jersey with it.

Stage 3 is another flat stage and will surely finish in a bunch sprint in London. My prediction is for Kittel to get on the board with his first win. Peter Sagan to stay in Yellow.

Stage 4 is classed as a hilly or medium mountain stage but the climbs are early enough in the stage for it to end in a bunch sprint. Mark Cavendish’s second victory of the 2014 tour.

Stage 5 offers nine sections of pave, which could create the first real time differences of the 2014 tour. My prediction is for Fabian Cancellara to win this stage.

Daily predictions to folllow on Social media for later stages

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4 July 2014

TdF Planet X Range

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